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© TrendForce
Analysis |

Shipments of smartphone panels forecasted to drop by 9% YoY

TrendForce projects that shipments of smartphone display panels (smartphone panels) will reach approximately 1.85 billion pieces in 2023, reflecting a YoY increase of 8.7%.

This growth is primarily driven by the demand from the smartphone repair market, the market for second-hand smartphones, and the release of new smartphone models. Looking ahead to 2024, TrendForce anticipates that the supply-demand dynamics of the smartphone market will return to a normal cycle. Consequently, there could be a drop in demand for second-hand devices and device repair. TrendForce forecasts that shipments of smartphone panels will amount to around 1.82 billion pieces in 2024, reflecting a YoY decline of 9%.

Regarding shipments of smartphone panels from individual panel makers, the decline in demand for LCD panels is a shared issue for some of them. Currently, BOE firmly holds the top position in global smartphone panel shipments, with an estimated shipment of around 560 million pieces for 2023. However, in 2024, BOE is expected to be impacted by the weakening demand for LCD panels, resulting in a projected YoY drop of 7.2% to around 520 million pieces. Following BOE is SDC in second place. Due to the decline in demand for rigid AMOLED panels, SDC’s shipments for 2023 are forecasted around 350 million pierces. As for 2024, SDC’s shipment figures are expected to remain relatively on par with the figure 2023 as its performance is expected to be sustained by the demand related to Samsung’s and Apple’s devices. Tianma is estimated to ship around 175 million pieces of smartphone panels in 2023, securing the company’s third-place position. As Tianma expands collaborations with various brands, there is a chance that its shipments could see a marginal YoY increase of 5.2% for 2024, totaling about 190 million pieces.

Innolux is ranked in fourth place in shipments at about 140 million pieces for 2023 and is projected at about 125 million pieces for 2024 under a YoY reduction of 11.2% due to the shrinking demand from the LCD market. HKC, ranked at fifth place, is estimated at a shipment volume of 170 million pieces for 2023 attributed to its cost advantage from the G8.6 production lines, and is projected to grow to 180 million units in shipments for 2024 at a YoY growth of 4.2%. TrendForce commented that SDC is the sole maker among the top five players that is deteriorating in shipments during 2023 due to the declining demand for rigid AMOLED panels, meaning that rigid AMOLED panels made by South Korean makers are gradually subsiding in market shares, after the initiation of mass production on flexible AMOLED panels by Chinese makers, on account of insufficient cost competitiveness.

As for the shipment ratio among panel makers by region, Taiwanese makers are able to hold onto their proportion thanks to the support from a-Si LCD, while Japanese makers are dropping in shipments due to their expeditious exit from the smartphone market. South Korean makers are maintained at 23-25% of shipments attributable to their technology of flexible AMOLED panels and the corresponding adoption by high-end smartphones. Chinese makers have ascended from 54.8% (2022) to 63.7% (2023) in overall shipments of smartphone panels, which showcases their continued significance in the overall smartphone supply chain.

© TrendForce

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November 28 2023 4:51 pm V22.0.8-1
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