Covid-19 expected to limit growth rates for many IC products

IC Insights has ranked the revenue growth rates for the 33 IC product categories defined by the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) organisation. The list shows the impact that Covid-19 is having across the entire IC industry this year.

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Growth rates across most IC segments are expected to improve this year, but not greatly. Eight product categories, led by NAND flash with an expected market increase of 27%, are forecast to see sales gains this year. In 2019, only six IC product categories experienced sales growth. Five product categories are forecast to expand at or above the total IC market growth rate of 3% this year, including both NAND flash and DRAM, which were the two worst growth segments in 2019. The list of 33 major IC product categories ranked by forecasted sales growth for 2020 is shown in the table below. The list shows the impact that Covid-19 is having across the entire IC industry this year. With consumers and businesses delaying or moving cautiously forward with system purchases, forecast sales for most IC segments have been scaled down. It remains to be seen if and how quickly typical buying patterns will resume. The July-September quarter of each year is usually the strongest for IC sales growth, but even a solid rebound in demand may not be enough to raise IC sales growth much beyond the forecast levels shown.

Product Category	2019	2020F
NAND Flash	-26%	27%
Computer and Peripherals – Spcl Purpose Logic	-1%	6%
Embedded MPUs	9%	5%
Auto – Spcl Purpose Logic	16%	3%
DRAM	-37%	3%
Total IC Market	-15%	3%
Computer CPUs*	-3%	2%
Wired Comm – Spcl Purpose Logic	-1%	1%
Wireless Comm – Spcl Purpose Logic	-10%	1%
Consumer – Special Purpose Logic	-13%	-2%
Cellphone App MPUs	-9%	-3%
NOR Flash	-19%	-3%
32-bit MCU	-4%	-4%
Display Drivers	8%	-4%
Industrial/Other – Spcl Purpose Logic	37%	-4%
Standard Cellphone	17%	-4%
Wireless Comm – App Specific Analog	-14%	-4%
PLDs	5%	-5%
Auto – App Specific Analog	-2%	-6%
Computer – App Specific Analog	-19%	-7%
Industrial/Other – App Specific Analog	-8%	-8%
Power Management Analog	-3%	-8%
Consumer – App Specific Analog	-17%	-9%
EEPROM/ROM/EPROM/Other	-8%	-9%
General Purpose Logic	-17%	-9%
Signal Conversion	-4%	-9%
Amplifiers/Comparators	-7%	-10%
Interface	-13%	-10%
Wired Comm – App Specific Analog	-13%	-13%
16-bit MCU	-7%	-14%
Gate Array	-11%	-14%
4-/8-bit MCU	-20%	-15%
SRAM	-25%	-18%
DSP	-19%	-19%

*CPUs in traditional PCs, Servers, Supercomputers and all other types of computers.