Memory upswing returns, new record high expected in 2022

IC Insights' updated forecast shows that after a steep drop in 2019, sales of memory ICs rebounded 15% during COVID-plagued 2020. Following up on that increase, stronger DRAM pricing is expected to lift total memory revenue 23% this year to USD 155.2 billion. The average selling price for DRAM jumped 8% sequentially in the first quarter of this year, and nearly all of the leading memory suppliers stated in their most recent quarterly financial presentations that they expected stronger demand in 2Q21. The memory upturn is forecast to continue into 2022 when total memory sales are expected to rise 16% to USD 180.4 billion, which would break the previous all-time high of USD 163.3 billion set in 2018 at the peak of the previous memory cycle. The memory market is forecast to reach its next cyclical peak in 2023, when revenue grows to nearly USD 220.0 billion—smashing through the USD 200.0 billion sales level for the first time—before a cooling period returns in 2024. From 2020 through 2025, IC Insights forecast the total memory market will grow by a CAGR of 10.6%. In 2021, DRAM is expected to account for 56% of the memory market (Figure 2) with flash memory accounting for 43% share. DRAM is also forecast to represent the bulk of memory unit shipments this year. Though there remains a viable market for other memory products (EEPROM, EPROM, ROM, SRAM, etc.), it is unlikely these segments will account for much more marketshare than they currently do.

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More information on the subject can be found at IC Insights.